| Registro completo |
| Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
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| País: |
United States
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| Título: |
A balança comercial do agronegócio brasileiro de 1989 a 2005
The trade balance of Brazilian agribusiness from 1989 to 2005
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| Autores: |
Barros, Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo
Silva, Simone Fioritti
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| Data: |
2008-12-30
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| Ano: |
2008
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| Palavras-chave: |
Agribusiness trade balance
Agricultural products
Animal products
Food industry
Fertilizers
Economic growth
Attractiveness
Exports
Imports
Productivity.
Political Economy
Q17
Q18.
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| Resumo: |
This study aims to analyze the agribusiness contribution to Brazil’s trade balance. A new classification of the agribusiness trade balance was proposed and used to analyze the aspects of the exported products –agricultural products, products of animal origin, industrialized foods and imported inputs – represented by fertilizers. Imports and exports vector autoregression models were used to explain the behavior of these variables. An increase of 1% in the attractiveness – product of the exchange rate by the international prices – boosts immediately the exports of non processed agricultural products by 1.71%, stabilizing at 2% after some trimesters. The attractiveness explains 60 to 74% of the forecast error variances of these exportats. It is noted that an exchange rate devaluation stimulates more the exports of products than it does the fertilizer imports. Besides, an increase of 1% of the GDP has an expressive impact (converging into -1.7%) on agricultural products exports.
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| Tipo: |
Journal Article
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| Idioma: |
Português
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| Identificador: |
http://purl.umn.edu/61191
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| Relação: |
Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (RESR)>Volume 46, Number 4, December 2008
Volume 46
Number 04
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| Formato: |
31
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